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oscar noms -- the annual distraction-from-work post
In which I have, as was the case last year (and the year before, I think), seen v. few of the nominees. That'll change now that I'm back in the colonies and earning money again.
Best Picture
Babel
The Departed
Letters From Iwo Jima
Little Miss Sunshine
The Queen
I've been meaning to see LMS since like August, no fooling. Never got around to Babel or The Departed, either; I couldn't really swing it in the paycheck-to-paycheck months. And I wasn't all over the Eastwood double-hitter -- I'd have gone if someone I wanted to go with was going, but I wasn't motivated to make a special trip. I did see The Queen, and thought it was well done, but I have my doubts that it will win the whole piñata. Helen Mirren was miraculous, but the rest of the elements ranged from just outstanding all the way down to trite and transparent. (I'm thinking of a moment -- two moments! -- with a fourteen-point stag. I think you know what I'm talking about.) I was surprised that Babel won the Golden Globe without having won a single other award that night -- sufficiently surprised that I'll place my bet there for the Oscar.
Director
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Babel
Martin Scorsese, The Departed
Clint Eastwood, Letters From Iwo Jima
Stephen Frears, The Queen
Paul Greengrass, United 93
Again, The Queen is the only nominee I've seen, so I'm really predicting based on a handicapping process rather than familiarity with the candidates. I don't think Frears will win. I'm tired of Eastwood winning, and I think others are, too. I want to believe Scorsese will finally win, but this is, what, his sixth nomination? And how long did Pacino have to go before he won? Marty's still got some time to work off, I think. (And I admit I'm looking forward to![[livejournal.com profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/external/lj-userinfo.gif)
tangleofthorns' rendition of the East-Coast Celebrity Cabal's reaction to his defeat, should he be defeated. Hee.) I like saying "Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu"; but I suspect the surprise of Greengrass' nomination is a harbinger of bigger things to come.
Actor
Leonardo DiCaprio, Blood Diamond
Peter O'Toole, Venus
Ryan Gosling, Half Nelson
Will Smith, The Pursuit of Happyness
Forest Whitaker, Last King of Scotland
It's down to Whitaker and O'Toole, and while Whitaker seems like a shoo-in, that Peter O'Toole is a crafty old man. Still, though.
Actress
Penelope Cruz, Volver
Judi Dench, Notes on a Scandal
Helen Mirren, The Queen
Meryl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada
Kate Winslet, Little Children
Mirren in a walk.
I will say, though, that Meryl Streep was made of class, at the Globes when she was talking about how if you hadn't even had the opportunity to see the other movies nominated in her category, you should go lean on theater managers and so on. There's not an award for that, but I was still glad to see it.
Supporting Actor
Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine
Jackie Earle Haley, Little Children
Djimon Hounsou, Blood Diamond
Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls
Mark Wahlberg, The Departed
I got nothin' here. The buzz is about Eddie Murphy; I have an uncomfortable feeling that it might go to Wahlberg as a sort of consolation prize.
Supporting Actress
Adriana Barraza, Babel
Cate Blanchett, Notes on a Scandal
Abigail Breslin, Little Miss Sunshine
Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls
Rinko Kikuchi, Babel
See above re: Supporting Actor. In this case, I think Abigail Breslin has a better-than-even chance of snatching the thing from Jennifer Hudson, on account of how much this category likes kids.
I hope to see at least some of these before the show, but I won't be able to see all of them, and also? I always feel rotten about seeing Oscar-nominated movies after they're nominated. Not that I haven't been intending to see them all along, but I still feel like oh, who's a star-fucker now? Bah.
Best Picture
Babel
The Departed
Letters From Iwo Jima
Little Miss Sunshine
The Queen
I've been meaning to see LMS since like August, no fooling. Never got around to Babel or The Departed, either; I couldn't really swing it in the paycheck-to-paycheck months. And I wasn't all over the Eastwood double-hitter -- I'd have gone if someone I wanted to go with was going, but I wasn't motivated to make a special trip. I did see The Queen, and thought it was well done, but I have my doubts that it will win the whole piñata. Helen Mirren was miraculous, but the rest of the elements ranged from just outstanding all the way down to trite and transparent. (I'm thinking of a moment -- two moments! -- with a fourteen-point stag. I think you know what I'm talking about.) I was surprised that Babel won the Golden Globe without having won a single other award that night -- sufficiently surprised that I'll place my bet there for the Oscar.
Director
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Babel
Martin Scorsese, The Departed
Clint Eastwood, Letters From Iwo Jima
Stephen Frears, The Queen
Paul Greengrass, United 93
Again, The Queen is the only nominee I've seen, so I'm really predicting based on a handicapping process rather than familiarity with the candidates. I don't think Frears will win. I'm tired of Eastwood winning, and I think others are, too. I want to believe Scorsese will finally win, but this is, what, his sixth nomination? And how long did Pacino have to go before he won? Marty's still got some time to work off, I think. (And I admit I'm looking forward to
tangleofthorns' rendition of the East-Coast Celebrity Cabal's reaction to his defeat, should he be defeated. Hee.) I like saying "Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu"; but I suspect the surprise of Greengrass' nomination is a harbinger of bigger things to come.Actor
Leonardo DiCaprio, Blood Diamond
Peter O'Toole, Venus
Ryan Gosling, Half Nelson
Will Smith, The Pursuit of Happyness
Forest Whitaker, Last King of Scotland
It's down to Whitaker and O'Toole, and while Whitaker seems like a shoo-in, that Peter O'Toole is a crafty old man. Still, though.
Actress
Penelope Cruz, Volver
Judi Dench, Notes on a Scandal
Helen Mirren, The Queen
Meryl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada
Kate Winslet, Little Children
Mirren in a walk.
I will say, though, that Meryl Streep was made of class, at the Globes when she was talking about how if you hadn't even had the opportunity to see the other movies nominated in her category, you should go lean on theater managers and so on. There's not an award for that, but I was still glad to see it.
Supporting Actor
Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine
Jackie Earle Haley, Little Children
Djimon Hounsou, Blood Diamond
Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls
Mark Wahlberg, The Departed
I got nothin' here. The buzz is about Eddie Murphy; I have an uncomfortable feeling that it might go to Wahlberg as a sort of consolation prize.
Supporting Actress
Adriana Barraza, Babel
Cate Blanchett, Notes on a Scandal
Abigail Breslin, Little Miss Sunshine
Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls
Rinko Kikuchi, Babel
See above re: Supporting Actor. In this case, I think Abigail Breslin has a better-than-even chance of snatching the thing from Jennifer Hudson, on account of how much this category likes kids.
I hope to see at least some of these before the show, but I won't be able to see all of them, and also? I always feel rotten about seeing Oscar-nominated movies after they're nominated. Not that I haven't been intending to see them all along, but I still feel like oh, who's a star-fucker now? Bah.
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I'm just glad that they didn't nominate De Niro versus Scorcese, because he would be SO TORN, the poor man.
And they obviously only gave Peter O'Toole the nomination because he's like twenty minutes from shuffling off this mortal coil, but whatever, he's Peter O'Toole, it's all good.